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World Property and Casualty Insurance Report 2025

Scale for tomorrow, today: The aging demographic pivot demands strategic P&C insurance transformation

Unprecedented demographic transformation is occurring worldwide as the global population heads toward 9.66 billion by 2050. In a historic first, senior citizens will outnumber youth by 2050 – excluding a relatively young Africa: the global population aged 60+ will grow by 72%, while the under-20 population declines by 16%. This historic transition will demand new business models: the P&C insurance industry will change across risk, protection, and service delivery.1

The World Property and Casualty Insurance Report 2025 reflects the views of 5,016 property and casualty insurance customers in 13 countries, as well as insights from interviews with 274 leading property and casualty insurance company executives across 15 markets; both of these research initiatives gathered inputs from all regions of the globe – the Americas, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. In addition, the report includes insights from macroeconomic forecasts done with a leading global macroeconomic forecaster.

Findings include,

  • P&C insurers face a world reshaped by a rapidly aging population that is transforming risk landscapes and business models for the industry, challenging established market strategies, profitability models, and product offerings
  • Demographic shifts blur the boundaries between personal and commercial risks, creating new coverage challenges and opportunities
  • Gaining a competitive advantage in this changing landscape requires balancing short-term returns with long-term preparedness across three critical dimensions – strategic positioning, operating model execution and risk governance

Success in meeting insurance industry challenges across this transformed landscape will require continuous evolution, not just one-time transformation. P&C insurers need to embrace a multi-horizon approach – one that balances immediate actions and performance, with long-term vision and positioning. To thrive, carriers must adapt their strategies, enhance operating models, strengthen risk management capabilities, and deploy capital strategically.

WORLD PROPERTY AND CASUALTY INSURANCE REPORT 2025 HIGHLIGHTS

Highlight 1

The 2050 demographic evolution

Macroeconomic forecasts from a leading forecaster reveal that a rising dependency ratio (26% by 2050, up from 16% today) and increasing urbanization (nearly 70% by 2050, up from 58% today) are driving unprecedented risk concentration. These shifts are reshaping the risk landscape for P&C insurers—impacting property utilization, mobility patterns, liability exposures, and claim frequencies in ways that challenge traditional actuarial models.

Global P&C Premium projections for 2050

Evolving risk paradigms are reshaping premium growth through 2050. As populations age at different rates, market opportunities shift. Commercial lines are projected to grow at 4.4% annually, outpacing personal lines at 3.3%. These shifts will critically influence key P&C business lines like auto, property and liability.

Prioritize time-bound strategies to navigate global demographic shifts

The roadmap for navigating demographic transformation requires clear priorities across three time horizons and four key building blocks: strategy and operations, risk management, personal products, and commercial liability. By focusing on no-regret actions today, carriers can better prepare for the long term—shifting from traditional one-time transformation initiatives to a continuous, adaptive evolution.

Insurers’ capability maturity across value chain remains limited

According to our Global Insurance Executives’ survey while P&C insurers acknowledge the importance of critical technologies such as advanced underwriting, generative AI, and real-time data analytics, few have developed mature capabilities. Investing in these technologies to reassess strategy, enhance operating models, strengthen risk management will drive immediate improvements and equip insurers to address the fundamental questions that will determine success in navigating long-term demographic shifts.

Further readings

1 Oxford Economics ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ Research Institute for Financial Services analysis, 2025

The information in this report is general and not intended as legal, tax, investment, financial, or professional advice. ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ assumes no liability for errors or omissions or the use of this material. This report is for informational purposes only and may not address your specific needs. ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ disclaims responsibility for translation inaccuracies and provides the information “as-is,” without warranties. ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ will not be liable for any losses arising from reliance on this information.

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Meet our experts

Shane Cassidy

Insurance Business Unit Leader

Adam Denninger

Adam Denninger

Global Industry Leader, Insurance

Lotfi Baccouche

Co-lead of Insurance Practice, ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ Invent

Kiran-Boosam

Kiran Boosam

Global Portfolio Leader for Insurance

Nathan Summers

Elias Ghanem

Global Head of ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ Research Institute for Financial Services

Luca Russignan

Head of Insurance and Deputy Head of ÎÚÑ»´«Ã½ Research Institute for Financial Services

Rémi Tordeux

Insurance Practice Head FS, France & Continental Europe

Executive Steering Committee

Praveen Sasidharan

Chief Insurance Services Officer

Allianz Services

Sam Zhang

Chief Operations Officer

Zurich Hong Kong

Dean Brown

Group Chief Operations Officer

Everest Group

Enrico San Pietro

Insurance General Manager

Unipol

Matthew Jones

Head of Ventures

MS Transverse MS&AD

Joeri Jedeloo

CIO, P&C and Income insurance

NN Group

Vanesa Bustamante

Chief Information Officer

HDI Group

Frederic Prate

Member Scientific and Ethical Committee

Future 4 Care

Jamie Macgregor

Global Head

Celent

Ralph Severini

Global leader, Commercial insurance

AWS

Rory Yates

Global Chief Strategy Officer

EIS

Bryan Falchuk

President & CEO

PLRB

Sara Landini

Professor

University of Florence

Michael Kleiman

Head of Macro Consulting, Americas

Oxford Economics

Adam Denninger

Adam Denninger

Global Industry Leader, Insurance

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